This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 36% to break even | 5%–56% | 16 points shortwon 20%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 36% to break even | 2%–35% | 26 points shortwon 10%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 36% to break even | 8%–41% | 16 points shortwon 20%, needs 36% |
| This season | 9 of 3030%needs 36% to break even | 18%–45% | 6 points shortwon 30%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 16 of 3644%needs 36% to break even | 32%–58% | 9 points betterwon 44%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 25 of 6638%needs 36% to break even | 29%–48% | 2 points betterwon 38%, needs 36% |
Tonight ATX plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against SKC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 13 of 33 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Austin FC game, newest first: whether both teams scored.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 17 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Sep 13 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jul 25 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jul 22 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 23 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| May 16 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 13 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| May 10 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 3 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 25 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 22 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 14 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Feb 21 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Nov 2 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Oct 4 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Sep 7 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jun 28 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jun 14 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jun 7 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| May 31 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| May 28 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 24 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 17 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| May 14 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 10 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 3 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 26 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 19 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 12 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 30 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 23 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 8 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 1 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Feb 22 | A team didn't score | Won | |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, ATX gamesAustin FC · Today 8:30 PM ET | +300at FanDuel | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 25% to break even5 of 33 on the road | -6.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 team totalAustin FC · Today 8:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 26 of 36· last season72%needs 57% to break even22 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -7.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, ATX gamesAustin FC · Today 8:30 PM ET | -148at MyBookie | 28 of 36· last season78%needs 60% to break even22 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 game total, ATX gamesAustin FC · Today 8:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 19 of 36· last season53%needs 38% to break even11 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.9Not beating its price | |
| ATX to win moneylineAustin FC · Today 8:30 PM ET | +210at BetRivers | 13 of 36· last season36%needs 32% to break even9 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -18.3Not beating its price | |
| ATX +0.5 spreadAustin FC · Today 8:30 PM ET | -151at MyBookie | 21 of 36· last season58%needs 60% to break even14 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 game total, ATX gamesAustin FC · Today 8:30 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 21 of 30· this season70%needs 67% to break even22 of 33 on the road | Record is this season's | -22.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 game total, ATX gamesAustin FC · Today 8:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even11 of 33 on the road | -25.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 team totalAustin FC · Today 8:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 30· this season37%needs 48% to break even11 of 33 on the road | Record is this season's | -29.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.