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Portland Timbers @ St. Louis City SC: under 3.5
Won21 of 34last season · 62%
Best price-114betPARX
Price needs53.3%wins to break even
Every game38 of 64this season and last
Trend score-22.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 4total goals |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 53% to break even | 13%–56% | 23 points shortwon 30%, needs 53% | 4.3total goals |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 53% to break even | 22%–61% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 3.7total goals |
| This season | 17 of 3057%needs 53% to break even | 42%–70% | 3 points betterwon 57%, needs 53% | 3.2total goals |
| Last season | 21 of 3462%needs 53% to break even | 48%–74% | 8 points betterwon 62%, needs 53% | 3total goals |
| Every game | 38 of 6459%needs 53% to break even | 49%–69% | 6 points betterwon 59%, needs 53% | 3.1total goals |
Games like tonight
Tonight STL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against POR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 19 of 32 at home.
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Every book's price
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Portland Timbers @ St. Louis City SC: under 3.53 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  MIN | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 14 |  VAN | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  LA | 8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 30 |  RBNY | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  TOR | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | MIN | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 9 |  POR | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | VAN | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  DAL | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 22 |  HOU | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 19 |  SKC | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 15 |  SJ | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 1 |  RSL | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jul 25 |  COL | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jul 22 | LA | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 16 | SKC | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 23 |  ATX | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 16 |  DC | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 13 |  LAFC | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 9 | COL | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 3 | ATX | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | SJ | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 |  SEA | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 11 | DAL | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 |  NYC | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  NE | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 | LAFC | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 | SEA | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 |  SD | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 |  CLT | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | RSL | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | ATX | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | LAFC | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | SJ | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  MTL | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | DAL | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | HOU | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | VAN | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 16 |  CHI | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 9 |  NSH | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 26 | MIN | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 19 | DAL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 13 | POR | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 5 | RSL | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 28 | HOU | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jun 25 |  ORL | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jun 14 | LA | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jun 8 | POR | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 31 | SJ | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 24 | COL | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 17 | MIN | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 14 | SKC | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 10 | SD | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 3 | SEA | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 27 | LAFC | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | VAN | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 13 |  CLB | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 | SKC | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 | ATX | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 22 |  PHI | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 | SEA | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 9 | LA | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | SD | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 | COL | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, STL gamesSt. Louis City SC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | PRX-113at betPARX | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even13 of 32 at home | -18.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on St. Louis City SC in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, STL gamesSt. Louis City SC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET |  +350at Hard Rock | 9 of 30· this season30%needs 22% to break even10 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -7.8Not beating its price | |
| STL to win moneylineSt. Louis City SC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | -175at Hard Rock | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 64% to break even13 of 32 at home | -32.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.