This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 64% to break even | 27%–86% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% | won by 1.6goals |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 64% to break even | 35%–81% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% | won by 1.3goals |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 64% to break even | 39%–78% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% | won by 1.2goals |
| This season | 14 of 3047%needs 64% to break even | 33%–61% | 17 points shortwon 47%, needs 64% | won by 0.5goals |
| Last season | 8 of 3424% |
Tonight STL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against POR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 13 of 32 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against STL to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, STL gamesSt. Louis City SC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET |
| 14%–37% |
| 40 points shortwon 24%, needs 64% |
| lost by 0.4goals |
| Every game | 22 of 6434%needs 64% to break even | 25%–45% | 29 points shortwon 34%, needs 64% | levelgoals |
| Margin |
|---|
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 30 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 8 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| +350at Hard Rock |
| 9 of 30· this season30%needs 22% to break even10 of 32 at home |
| Record is this season's |
| -7.8Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, STL gamesSt. Louis City SC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | PRX-113at betPARX | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even13 of 32 at home | -18.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, STL gamesSt. Louis City SC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | PRX-114at betPARX | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 53% to break even19 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -22.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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