This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 22% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 22% to break even | 5%–56% | 2 points shortwon 20%, needs 22% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 22% to break even | 13%–56% | 8 points betterwon 30%, needs 22% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 22% to break even | 17%–54% | 11 points betterwon 33%, needs 22% |
| This season | 9 of 3030%needs 22% to break even | 18%–45% | 8 points betterwon 30%, needs 22% |
| Last season | 8 of 3424%needs 22% to break even | 14%–37% | 1 points betterwon 24%, needs 22% |
| Every game | 17 of 6427%needs 22% to break even | 19%–36% | 4 points betterwon 27%, needs 22% |
Tonight STL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against POR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 10 of 32 at home.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every St. Louis City SC game, newest first: whether it ended level.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 17 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 11 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Sep 30 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 5 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 22 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 15 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 23 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| May 16 | Draw | Won | |
| May 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 9 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 3 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 4 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 21 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | Draw | Won | |
| Last season | |||
| Oct 18 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 4 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 30 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Jul 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | Draw | Won | |
| Jun 8 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 31 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 24 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 17 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| May 14 | Draw | Won | |
| May 10 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 3 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 19 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | Draw | Won | |
| Feb 22 | Draw | Won | |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, STL gamesSt. Louis City SC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | PRX-113at betPARX | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even13 of 32 at home | -18.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 3.5 game total, STL gamesSt. Louis City SC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | PRX-114at betPARX | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 53% to break even19 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -22.1Not beating its price | |
| STL to win moneylineSt. Louis City SC · Wed, Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET | -175at Hard Rock | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 64% to break even13 of 32 at home | -32.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.