This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 42% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% | levelgoals |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 42% to break even | 13%–56% | 12 points shortwon 30%, needs 42% | lost by 0.2goals |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 42% to break even | 17%–54% | 9 points shortwon 33%, needs 42% | lost by 0.3goals |
| This season | 8 of 3027%needs 42% to break even | 16%–41% | 15 points shortwon 27%, needs 42% | lost by 0.5goals |
| Last season | 5 of 3415% |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 32 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ATL -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, ATL gamesAtlanta United FC · Today 7:30 PM ET |
| 7%–27% |
| 27 points shortwon 15%, needs 42% |
| lost by 0.7goals |
| Every game | 13 of 6420%needs 42% to break even | 13%–30% | 22 points shortwon 20%, needs 42% | lost by 0.6goals |
| Opponent |
|---|
| Margin |
|---|
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 12 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| +290at FanDuel |
| 13 of 34· last season38%needs 26% to break even10 of 32 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.5Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, ATL gamesAtlanta United FC · Today 7:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 14 of 34· last season41%needs 34% to break even7 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta United FC · Today 7:30 PM ET | +186at FanDuel | 17 of 34· last season50%needs 35% to break even11 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalAtlanta United FC · Today 7:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 25 of 34· last season74%needs 54% to break even17 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta United FC · Today 7:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 47% to break even16 of 32 at home | -17.8Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta United FC · Today 7:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 57% to break even16 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -21.1Not beating its price |
| ATL to win moneylineAtlanta United FC · Today 7:30 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 37% to break even8 of 32 at home | -22.3Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalAtlanta United FC · Today 7:30 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 51% to break even15 of 32 at home | -24.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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