This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 37% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points betterwon 40%, needs 37% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 37% to break even | 13%–56% | 7 points shortwon 30%, needs 37% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 37% to break even | 17%–54% | 4 points shortwon 33%, needs 37% |
| This season | 8 of 3027%needs 37% to break even | 16%–41% | 11 points shortwon 27%, needs 37% |
| Last season | 5 of 3415%needs 37% to break even | 7%–27% | 22 points shortwon 15%, needs 37% |
| Every game | 13 of 6420%needs 37% to break even | 13%–30% | 17 points shortwon 20%, needs 37% |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against atl to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 12 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.