This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 26% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 26% to break even | 5%–56% | 6 points shortwon 20%, needs 26% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 26% to break even | 13%–56% | 4 points betterwon 30%, needs 26% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 26% to break even | 13%–48% | 1 points betterwon 27%, needs 26% |
| This season | 6 of 3020%needs 26% to break even | 11%–34% | 6 points shortwon 20%, needs 26% |
| Last season | 13 of 3438%needs 26% to break even | 26%–52% | 13 points betterwon 38%, needs 26% |
| Every game |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 10 of 32 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Atlanta United FC game, newest first: whether it ended level.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score: No, ATL gamesAtlanta United FC · Today 7:30 PM ET |
| 19 of 6430%needs 26% to break even |
| 21%–40% |
| 4 points betterwon 30%, needs 26% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 17 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 9 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 29 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 17 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 24 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 16 | Draw | Won | |
| May 9 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 2 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 14 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Oct 18 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 11 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 26 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 12 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 5 | Draw | Won | |
| Jun 25 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jun 12 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| May 31 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 28 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 25 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 17 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 14 | Draw | Won | |
| May 10 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 3 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 26 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 29 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 1 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| +198at Kalshi |
| 14 of 34· last season41%needs 34% to break even7 of 32 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -12.2Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalAtlanta United FC · Today 7:30 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 25 of 34· last season74%needs 53% to break even17 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta United FC · Today 7:30 PM ET | +186at FanDuel | 17 of 34· last season50%needs 35% to break even11 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta United FC · Today 7:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 47% to break even16 of 32 at home | -17.8Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta United FC · Today 7:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 57% to break even16 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -21.1Not beating its price |
| ATL to win moneylineAtlanta United FC · Today 7:30 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 37% to break even8 of 32 at home | -22.3Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalAtlanta United FC · Today 7:30 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 51% to break even15 of 32 at home | -24.0Not beating its price |
| ATL +0.5 spreadAtlanta United FC · Today 7:30 PM ET | -165at DraftKings | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 62% to break even18 of 32 at home | -25.0Not beating its price |
| ATL -0.5 spreadAtlanta United FC · Today 7:30 PM ET | +138at BetRivers | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 42% to break even8 of 32 at home | -26.8Not beating its price |
| ATL PK spreadAtlanta United FC · Today 7:30 PM ET | PIN+104at Pinnacle | 5 of 11· last 15 games, 4 skipped45%needs 49% to break even8 of 22 at home | -27.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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