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MLBPlayer propEarned runs
Jacob Misiorowski under 0.5 earned runs
Won3 of 5last 5 games · 60%
Best price+146Kalshi
Price needs40.7%wins to break even
Every game17 of 51this season and last
Trend score-19.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 41% to break even | 27%–86% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 41% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 41% to break even | 17%–54% | 7 points shortwon 33%, needs 41% |
| This season | 12 of 3238%needs 41% to break even | 25%–52% | 3 points shortwon 38%, needs 41% |
| Last season | 5 of 1926%needs 41% to break even | 13%–45% | 14 points shortwon 26%, needs 41% |
| Every game |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Jacob Misiorowski under 0.5 earned runs1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Earned runs in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 earned runsJacob Misiorowski |
More on Jacob Misiorowski in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 strikeouts (pitcher)Jacob Misiorowski |
