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Won21 of 37last season · 57%
Best price+103Pinnacle
Price needs49.3%wins to break even
Every game25 of 48this season and last
Trend score-23.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 49% to break even | 5%–56% | 29 points shortwon 20%, needs 49% | 4.4total goals |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 933%needs 49% to break even | 14%–60% | 16 points shortwon 33%, needs 49% | 3.7total goals |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1346%needs 49% to break even | 26%–68% | 3 points shortwon 46%, needs 49% | 3.3total goals |
| This season | 4 of 1136%needs 49% to break even | 18%–61% | 13 points shortwon 36%, needs 49% | 3.5total goals |
| Last season | 21 of 3757%needs 49% to break even | 43%–69% | 7 points betterwon 57%, needs 49% | 2.9total goals |
| Every game | 25 of 4852%needs 49% to break even | 40%–64% | 3 points betterwon 52%, needs 49% | 3total goals |
Games like tonight
Tonight TOL plays on the road, as the favorite, against LEO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 15 of 22 on the road.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Toluca @ León: under 34 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against under 3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  TIJ | 4 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 17 |  ASL | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 9 |  UANL | 5 | -2 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  CAZ | 6 | -3 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  SAN | 5 | -2 | Lost |
| Sep 15 |  PUE | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  ATS | 7 | -4 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  JUA | 4 | -1 | Lost |
| Aug 21 |  QRO | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Aug 15 |  ATL | 0 | +3 | Won |
| Aug 2 |  NCX | 4 | -1 | Lost |
| Jul 21 |  UNAM | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Jul 18 |  GDL | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 |  PAC | 2 | +1 | Won |
| May 3 | PAC | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Apr 25 |  LEO | 5 | -2 | Lost |
| Apr 22 | MAZ | 7 | -4 | Lost |
| Apr 18 |  AME | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Apr 12 | ASL | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Apr 4 | QRO | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Mar 22 | PAC | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Mar 14 | ATS | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Mar 8 | JUA | 4 | -1 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | UNAM | 5 | -2 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | GDL | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Feb 21 | NCX | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Feb 13 | TIJ | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Feb 7 | CAZ | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Jan 30 | PUE | 0 | +3 | Won |
| Jan 17 | UANL | 0 | +3 | Won |
| Jan 14 | SAN | 4 | -1 | Lost |
| Jan 10 |  MTY | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Dec 14 | UANL | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Dec 11 | UANL | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Dec 6 | MTY | 5 | -2 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | MTY | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Nov 29 | JUA | 0 | +3 | Won |
| Nov 26 | JUA | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Nov 8 | AME | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Nov 1 | ATS | 0 | +3 | Won |
| Oct 26 | PAC | 4 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | TIJ | 0 | +3 | Won |
| Oct 18 | QRO | 4 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | LEO | 6 | -3 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | MAZ | 4 | -1 | Lost |
| Sep 24 | MTY | 8 | -5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | GDL | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Sep 13 | PUE | 4 | -1 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | ASL | 4 | -1 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | CAZ | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Aug 16 | UNAM | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Aug 11 | JUA | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Jul 26 | UANL | 7 | -4 | Lost |
| Jul 16 | SAN | 6 | -3 | Lost |
| Jul 12 | NCX | 4 | -1 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, TOL gamesToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET |  -182at BetRivers | 9 of 13· this season69%needs 65% to break even12 of 27 on the road | Record is this season's | -20.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 3 game total, TOL gamesToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET | PIN-115at Pinnacle | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even7 of 22 on the road | -15.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 3.5 game total, TOL gamesToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET |  +125at BetMGM | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 44% to break even7 of 27 on the road | -11.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Toluca in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, TOL gamesToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET |  +300at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 25% to break even7 of 27 on the road | -6.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 team totalToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET |  +202at Polymarket | 17 of 42· last season40%needs 33% to break even8 of 27 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.8Not beating its price | |
| Both teams score: No, TOL gamesToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 19 of 42· last season45%needs 36% to break even16 of 27 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 team totalToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 9 of 13· this season69%needs 61% to break even13 of 27 on the road | Record is this season's | -16.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 team totalToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 19 of 42· last season45%needs 43% to break even14 of 27 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.3Not beating its price | |
| TOL to win moneylineToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET | LVG+101at LowVig | 22 of 42· last season52%needs 50% to break even12 of 27 on the road | Record is last season's | -24.0Not beating its price | |
| TOL -0.5 spreadToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET | LVG+101at LowVig | 22 of 42· last season52%needs 50% to break even12 of 27 on the road | Record is last season's | -24.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.