This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 36% to break even | 0%–35% | 36 points shortwon 0%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 36% to break even | 13%–56% | 6 points shortwon 30%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 36% to break even | 22%–61% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% |
| This season | 4 of 1331%needs 36% to break even | 15%–54% | 5 points shortwon 31%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 19 of 4245%needs 36% to break even | 33%–58% | 9 points betterwon 45%, needs 36% |
| Every game |
Tonight TOL plays on the road, as the favorite, against LEO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 16 of 27 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Toluca game, newest first: whether both teams scored.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, TOL gamesToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET |
| 32%–53% |
| 6 points betterwon 42%, needs 36% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 21 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 15 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Sep 12 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 21 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 2 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jul 21 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jul 18 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Last season | |||
| May 10 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| May 3 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 25 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | MAZ | Both scored | Lost |
| Apr 18 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 22 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Feb 21 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Feb 13 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Feb 7 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jan 17 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jan 14 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Dec 14 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Dec 6 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Nov 29 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Nov 26 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Nov 1 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Oct 26 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Oct 18 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Oct 4 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | MAZ | Both scored | Lost |
| Sep 24 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Sep 13 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 16 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 11 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jul 26 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | Both scored | Lost | |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 25% to break even7 of 27 on the road |
| -6.8Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, TOL gamesToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET | +125at BetMGM | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 44% to break even7 of 27 on the road | -11.1Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, TOL gamesToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET | PIN-115at Pinnacle | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even7 of 22 on the road | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, TOL gamesToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 21 of 42· last season50%needs 37% to break even15 of 27 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 17 of 42· last season40%needs 33% to break even8 of 27 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 9 of 13· this season69%needs 61% to break even13 of 27 on the road | Record is this season's | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, TOL gamesToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET | -182at BetRivers | 9 of 13· this season69%needs 65% to break even12 of 27 on the road | Record is this season's | -20.7Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 19 of 42· last season45%needs 43% to break even14 of 27 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.3Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, TOL gamesToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET | PIN+103at Pinnacle | 21 of 37· last season57%needs 49% to break even15 of 22 on the road | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price |
| TOL to win moneylineToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET | LVG+101at LowVig | 22 of 42· last season52%needs 50% to break even12 of 27 on the road | Record is last season's | -24.0Not beating its price |
| TOL -0.5 spreadToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET | LVG+101at LowVig | 22 of 42· last season52%needs 50% to break even12 of 27 on the road | Record is last season's | -24.0Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, TOL gamesToluca · Today 7:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 26 of 42· last season62%needs 58% to break even20 of 27 on the road | Record is last season's | -26.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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