This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 49% to break even | 0%–35% | 49 points shortwon 0%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 49% to break even | 19%–65% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 49% to break even | 22%–61% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| This season | 6 of 1346%needs 49% to break even | 26%–68% | 3 points shortwon 46%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 22 of 4252%needs 49% to break even | 40%–65% | 4 points betterwon 52%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 28 of 5551%needs 49% to break even | 40%–62% | 2 points betterwon 51%, needs 49% |
Tonight TOL plays on the road, as the favorite, against LEO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against tol to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, TOL gamesToluca · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 2 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 18 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | MAZ | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | MAZ | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 24 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 11 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even |
| -9.6Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, TOL gamesToluca · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 21 of 42· last season50%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, TOL gamesToluca · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | -182at BetRivers | 9 of 13· this season69%needs 65% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.7Not beating its price |
| TOL -0.5 spreadToluca · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | LVG+100at LowVig | 22 of 42· last season52%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.2Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, TOL gamesToluca · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 26 of 42· last season62%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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