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Won10 of 25last season · 40%
Best price-115Pinnacle
Price needs53.5%wins to break even
Every game13 of 36this season and last
Trend score-33.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 425%needs 53% to break even | 6%–64% | 28 points shortwon 25%, needs 53% | 3.4total goals |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 825%needs 53% to break even | 9%–54% | 28 points shortwon 25%, needs 53% | 3total goals |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1338%needs 53% to break even | 20%–61% | 15 points shortwon 38%, needs 53% | 3.1total goals |
| This season | 3 of 1127%needs 53% to break even | 11%–52% | 26 points shortwon 27%, needs 53% | 2.8total goals |
| Last season | 10 of 2540%needs 53% to break even | 26%–56% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 2.9total goals |
| Every game | 13 of 3636%needs 53% to break even | 24%–50% | 17 points shortwon 36%, needs 53% | 2.9total goals |
Games like tonight
Tonight LEO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 15 at home.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Toluca @ León: over 34 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against over 3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 |  UANL | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 17 |  AME | 8 | +5 | Won |
| Oct 9 |  PUE | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  JUA | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Sep 20 |  QRO | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  ASL | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Sep 10 |  UNAM | 4 | +1 | Won |
| Aug 28 |  ATL | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Aug 21 |  MTY | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Aug 17 |  NCX | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Aug 1 |  PAC | 1 | -2 | Lost |
| Jul 24 |  TIJ | 1 | -2 | Lost |
| Jul 17 |  ATS | 5 | +2 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 25 |  TOL | 5 | +2 | Won |
| Apr 21 | AME | 5 | +2 | Won |
| Apr 18 | JUA | 4 | +1 | Won |
| Apr 10 | PUE | 1 | -2 | Lost |
| Apr 4 | ATS | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Mar 21 | ASL | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Mar 18 |  GDL | 5 | +2 | Won |
| Mar 14 | TIJ | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Mar 6 | MAZ | 6 | +3 | Won |
| Feb 28 | NCX | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Feb 21 |  SAN | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Feb 14 | MTY | 1 | -2 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | QRO | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | UANL | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Jan 18 | UNAM | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | PAC | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Jan 10 |  CAZ | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Nov 8 | PUE | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Nov 1 | AME | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | UNAM | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | ATS | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | SAN | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | TOL | 6 | +3 | Won |
| Sep 26 | JUA | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Sep 23 | MAZ | 4 | +1 | Won |
| Sep 19 | TIJ | 5 | +2 | Won |
| Sep 13 | UANL | 0 | -3 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | QRO | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Aug 23 | PAC | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Aug 15 | NCX | 1 | -2 | Lost |
| Aug 11 | MTY | 4 | +1 | Won |
| Jul 26 | CAZ | 5 | +2 | Won |
| Jul 19 | GDL | 1 | -2 | Lost |
| Jul 13 | ASL | 1 | -2 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, LEO gamesLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET |  +177at Polymarket | 8 of 13· this season62%needs 36% to break even8 of 23 at home | Record is this season's | -2.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 3 game total, LEO gamesLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET | PIN+103at Pinnacle | 8 of 11· this season73%needs 49% to break even8 of 15 at home | Record is this season's | -5.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, LEO gamesLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 24 of 34· last season71%needs 58% to break even16 of 23 at home | Record is last season's | -6.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on León in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEO to win moneylineLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET | PIN+295at Pinnacle | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 25% to break even11 of 23 at home | -3.2Not beating its price | ||
| LEO +0.5 spreadLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET | PIN-106at Pinnacle | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 51% to break even14 of 23 at home | -8.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 team totalLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET |  +146at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 41% to break even14 of 23 at home | -10.1Not beating its price | ||
| Draw, LEO gamesLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET |  +300at FanDuel | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 25% to break even3 of 23 at home | -13.5Not beating its price | ||
| Both teams score: No, LEO gamesLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 36% to break even8 of 23 at home | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 team totalLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 23 of 34· last season68%needs 63% to break even9 of 23 at home | Record is last season's | -29.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.