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Won6 of 10last 10 games · 60%
Best price+146Kalshi
Price needs40.7%wins to break even
Every game18 of 47this season and last
Trend score-10.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 41% to break even | 27%–86% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% | 1.8goals |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 41% to break even | 35%–81% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% | 1.7goals |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 41% to break even | 33%–72% | 13 points betterwon 53%, needs 41% | 1.5goals |
| This season | 7 of 1354%needs 41% to break even | 32%–74% | 13 points betterwon 54%, needs 41% | 1.5goals |
| Last season | 11 of 3432%needs 41% to break even | 21%–46% | 8 points shortwon 32%, needs 41% | 1.1goals |
| Every game | 18 of 4738%needs 41% to break even | 28%–50% | 2 points shortwon 38%, needs 41% | 1.2goals |
Games like tonight
Tonight LEO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 14 of 23 at home.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Over 1.5 (team total)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
LEO goals in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | LEO goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 |  UANL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 17 |  AME | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 9 |  PUE | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  JUA | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  QRO | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  ASL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 10 |  UNAM | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 28 |  ATL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 21 |  MTY | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 17 |  NCX | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 1 |  PAC | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 24 |  TIJ | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 17 |  ATS | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 25 |  TOL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | AME | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | JUA | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 | PUE | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 4 | ATS | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 | ASL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 |  GDL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 | TIJ | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 | MAZ | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | NCX | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 |  SAN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 14 | MTY | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | QRO | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | UANL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 | UNAM | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | PAC | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 |  CAZ | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | PUE | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | AME | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | UNAM | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | ATS | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | SAN | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | TOL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | JUA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 23 | MAZ | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | TIJ | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | UANL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | QRO | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 | PAC | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 15 | NCX | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 11 | MTY | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 26 | CAZ | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 19 | GDL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 13 | ASL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET |  -172at Polymarket | 23 of 34· last season68%needs 63% to break even9 of 23 at home | Record is last season's | -29.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on León in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.