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Won24 of 34last season · 71%
Best price-168Kalshi
Price needs62.7%wins to break even
Every game34 of 47this season and last
Trend score-10.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 63% to break even | 44%–95% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 63% to break even | 54%–93% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 63% to break even | 46%–83% | 4 points betterwon 67%, needs 63% |
| This season | 10 of 1377%needs 63% to break even | 54%–90% | 14 points betterwon 77%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 24 of 3471%needs 63% to break even | 57%–82% | 8 points betterwon 71%, needs 63% |
| Every game | 34 of 4772%needs 63% to break even | 61%–82% | 10 points betterwon 72%, needs 63% |
Games like tonight
Tonight LEO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Toluca @ León: under 3.51 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, LEO gamesLeón · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |
More on León in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEO to win moneylineLeón · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |
