This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 36% to break even | 5%–56% | 16 points shortwon 20%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 36% to break even | 13%–56% | 6 points shortwon 30%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 36% to break even | 17%–54% | 3 points shortwon 33%, needs 36% |
| This season | 5 of 1338%needs 36% to break even | 20%–61% | 2 points betterwon 38%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 16 of 3447%needs 36% to break even | 34%–61% | 11 points betterwon 47%, needs 36% |
| Every game |
Tonight LEO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 23 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every León game, newest first: whether both teams scored.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEO to win moneylineLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET |
| 21 of 4745%needs 36% to break even |
| 33%–57% |
| 9 points betterwon 45%, needs 36% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 20 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Oct 17 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Sep 10 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 17 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jul 24 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jul 17 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Apr 25 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 4 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 21 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 14 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 6 | MAZ | Both scored | Lost |
| Feb 28 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Feb 7 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jan 31 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Oct 25 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Oct 18 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Oct 4 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Sep 23 | MAZ | Both scored | Lost |
| Sep 19 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Sep 13 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 30 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 23 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 11 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jul 13 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 25% to break even11 of 23 at home |
| -3.2Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, LEO gamesLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 8 of 13· this season62%needs 37% to break even8 of 23 at home | Record is this season's | -3.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, LEO gamesLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET | PIN+103at Pinnacle | 8 of 11· this season73%needs 49% to break even8 of 15 at home | Record is this season's | -5.6Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, LEO gamesLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 24 of 34· last season71%needs 58% to break even16 of 23 at home | Record is last season's | -6.1Not beating its price |
| LEO +0.5 spreadLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET | PIN-106at Pinnacle | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 51% to break even14 of 23 at home | -8.3Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 41% to break even14 of 23 at home | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Draw, LEO gamesLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET | +300at FanDuel | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 25% to break even3 of 23 at home | -13.5Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, LEO gamesLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET | +125at BetMGM | 10 of 34· last season29%needs 44% to break even7 of 23 at home | Record is last season's | -29.3Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 23 of 34· last season68%needs 63% to break even9 of 23 at home | Record is last season's | -29.9Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, LEO gamesLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET | PIN-115at Pinnacle | 10 of 25· last season40%needs 53% to break even7 of 15 at home | Record is last season's | -33.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, LEO gamesLeón · Today 7:00 PM ET | -182at BetRivers | 19 of 34· last season56%needs 65% to break even15 of 23 at home | Record is last season's | -34.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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