This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 26% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 26% to break even | 14%–73% | 14 points betterwon 40%, needs 26% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 26% to break even | 27%–73% | 24 points betterwon 50%, needs 26% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 26% to break even | 22%–61% | 14 points betterwon 40%, needs 26% |
| This season | 6 of 1346%needs 26% to break even | 26%–68% | 20 points betterwon 46%, needs 26% |
| Last season | 10 of 3429%needs 26% to break even | 18%–43% | 4 points betterwon 29%, needs 26% |
| Every game | 16 of 4734%needs 26% to break even | 24%–46% | 8 points betterwon 34%, needs 26% |
Tonight LEO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against leo to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, LEO gamesLeón · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 10 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 24 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 25 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | MAZ | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 23 | MAZ | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 11 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| 8 of 13· this season62%needs 41% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -6.6Not beating its price |
| LEO +0.5 spreadLeón · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | PIN-115at Pinnacle | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, LEO gamesLeón · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 24 of 34· last season71%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, LEO gamesLeón · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 10 of 34· last season29%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, LEO gamesLeón · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -182at BetRivers | 19 of 34· last season56%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.