This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 51% to break even | 5%–56% | 31 points shortwon 20%, needs 51% | 5.4total goals |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 729%needs 51% to break even | 10%–59% | 22 points shortwon 29%, needs 51% | 4.5total goals |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1242%needs 51% to break even | 22%–64% | 9 points shortwon 42%, needs 51% | 4.1total goals |
| This season | 4 of 944%needs 51% to break even | 22%–70% | 7 points shortwon 44%, needs 51% | 4total goals |
| Last season | 19 of 3063% |
Tonight AME plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against PAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 11 of 16 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, AME gamesAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, AME gamesAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET |
| 48%–76% |
| 12 points betterwon 63%, needs 51% |
| 2.8total goals |
| Every game | 23 of 3959%needs 51% to break even | 46%–71% | 8 points betterwon 59%, needs 51% | 3.1total goals |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 7 | -4 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 8 | -5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 6 | -3 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 7 | -4 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 21 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 16 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 2 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 24 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jul 18 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | 6 | -3 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 6 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | MAZ | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Mar 7 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 4 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 28 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 0 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Nov 26 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | MAZ | 4 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 21 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 4 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 27 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 30 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 6 | -3 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 63% to break even13 of 24 at home |
| -16.5Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, AME gamesAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | LVG-109at LowVig | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even5 of 16 at home | -16.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, AME gamesAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even5 of 24 at home | -14.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 22% to break even4 of 24 at home |
| -8.0Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 38% to break even6 of 24 at home | -9.6Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, AME gamesAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 60% to break even12 of 24 at home | -11.7Not beating its price |
| AME -1.5 spreadAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 41% to break even10 of 24 at home | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 66% to break even15 of 24 at home | -14.6Not beating its price |
| AME -1 spreadAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | PIN-105at Pinnacle | 6 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped67%needs 51% to break even10 of 19 at home | -19.2Not beating its price |
| AME to win moneylineAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | PRX-159at betPARX | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 61% to break even15 of 24 at home | -22.3Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 19 of 38· last season50%needs 41% to break even9 of 24 at home | Record is last season's | -23.3Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, AME gamesAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 17 of 38· last season45%needs 45% to break even12 of 24 at home | Record is last season's | -24.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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