This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 22% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 22% to break even | 14%–73% | 18 points betterwon 40%, needs 22% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 22% to break even | 7%–46% | 2 points shortwon 20%, needs 22% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 22% to break even | 17%–54% | 11 points betterwon 33%, needs 22% |
| This season | 3 of 1225%needs 22% to break even | 10%–49% | 3 points betterwon 25%, needs 22% |
| Last season | 10 of 3826%needs 22% to break even | 16%–39% | 4 points betterwon 26%, needs 22% |
Tonight AME plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against PAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 24 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every América game, newest first: whether it ended level.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 team totalAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET |
| Every game | 13 of 5026%needs 22% to break even | 17%–37% | 4 points betterwon 26%, needs 22% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 21 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 27 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 12 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Aug 2 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Jul 24 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 18 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| May 10 | Draw | Won | |
| May 3 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 4 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 21 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | MAZ | Decided by 2 | Lost |
| Mar 7 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | Draw | Won | |
| Jan 14 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | Draw | Won | |
| Nov 29 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | MAZ | Draw | Won |
| Oct 21 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 16 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | Draw | Won | |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 39% to break even6 of 24 at home |
| -10.5Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, AME gamesAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 60% to break even12 of 24 at home | -11.7Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, AME gamesAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 42% to break even5 of 24 at home | -13.8Not beating its price |
| AME -1.5 spreadAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 41% to break even10 of 24 at home | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, AME gamesAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | LVG-109at LowVig | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even5 of 16 at home | -16.2Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, AME gamesAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 65% to break even13 of 24 at home | -18.5Not beating its price |
| AME -1 spreadAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | PIN-105at Pinnacle | 6 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped67%needs 51% to break even10 of 19 at home | -19.2Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, AME gamesAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 19 of 38· last season50%needs 41% to break even11 of 24 at home | Record is last season's | -20.6Not beating its price |
| AME to win moneylineAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | PRX-159at betPARX | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 61% to break even15 of 24 at home | -22.3Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, AME gamesAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | PIN-104at Pinnacle | 19 of 30· last season63%needs 51% to break even11 of 16 at home | Record is last season's | -24.3Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, AME gamesAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 17 of 38· last season45%needs 45% to break even12 of 24 at home | Record is last season's | -24.9Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, AME gamesAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 27 of 38· last season71%needs 63% to break even19 of 24 at home | Record is last season's | -25.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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