This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 52% to break even | 44%–95% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% | 5.4total goals |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 771%needs 52% to break even | 41%–90% | 19 points betterwon 71%, needs 52% | 4.5total goals |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1258%needs 52% to break even | 36%–78% | 6 points betterwon 58%, needs 52% | 4.1total goals |
| This season | 5 of 956%needs 52% to break even | 30%–78% | 3 points betterwon 56%, needs 52% | 4total goals |
| Last season | 11 of 3037%needs 52% to break even | 24%–52% | 15 points shortwon 37%, needs 52% | 2.8total goals |
| Every game | 16 of 3941%needs 52% to break even | 29%–54% | 11 points shortwon 41%, needs 52% | 3.1total goals |
Tonight AME plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against PAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 16 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 7 | +4 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 8 | +5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 6 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 7 | +4 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 16 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 2 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 24 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jul 18 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | 6 | +3 | Won | |
| May 3 | 6 | +3 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | MAZ | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Mar 7 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 4 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 28 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 14 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 0 | -3 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Nov 26 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | MAZ | 4 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 21 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 4 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 27 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 30 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 6 | +3 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Jul 11 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, AME gamesAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 19 of 38· last season50%needs 41% to break even11 of 24 at home | Record is last season's | -20.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 3 game total, AME gamesAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | PIN-104at Pinnacle | 19 of 30· last season63%needs 51% to break even11 of 16 at home | Record is last season's | -24.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, AME gamesAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 27 of 38· last season71%needs 63% to break even19 of 24 at home | Record is last season's | -25.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.