This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 41% to break even | 27%–86% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 41% to break even | 35%–81% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 41% to break even | 22%–61% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% |
| This season | 6 of 1250%needs 41% to break even | 29%–71% | 9 points betterwon 50%, needs 41% |
| Last season | 10 of 3826%needs 41% to break even | 16%–39% | 14 points shortwon 26%, needs 41% |
| Every game | 16 of 5032%needs 41% to break even | 22%–44% | 9 points shortwon 32%, needs 41% |
Tonight AME plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against PAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ame -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, AME gamesAmérica · Sun, Oct 25, 9:05 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 2 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | MAZ | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 14 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | MAZ | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 42% to break even |
| -13.8Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, AME gamesAmérica · Sun, Oct 25, 9:05 PM ET | PRX-167at betPARX | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 63% to break even | -16.5Not beating its price |
| AME to win moneylineAmérica · Sun, Oct 25, 9:05 PM ET | -155at BetMGM | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 61% to break even | -21.7Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, AME gamesAmérica · Sun, Oct 25, 9:05 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 19 of 38· last season50%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, AME gamesAmérica · Sun, Oct 25, 9:05 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 27 of 38· last season71%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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