This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 60% to break even | 65%–100% | 40 points betterwon 100%, needs 60% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 60% to break even | 44%–87% | 10 points betterwon 70%, needs 60% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 60% to break even | 46%–83% | 7 points betterwon 67%, needs 60% |
| This season | 8 of 1267%needs 60% to break even | 43%–84% | 7 points betterwon 67%, needs 60% |
| Last season | 21 of 3855%needs 60% to break even | 42%–68% | 4 points shortwon 55%, needs 60% |
| Every game | 29 of 5058%needs 60% to break even | 46%–69% | 2 points shortwon 58%, needs 60% |
Tonight AME plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against PAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 12 of 24 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every América game, newest first: whether both teams scored.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 21 | Both scored | Won | |
| Oct 17 | Both scored | Won | |
| Oct 10 | Both scored | Won | |
| Sep 27 | Both scored | Won | |
| Sep 19 | Both scored | Won | |
| Sep 12 | Both scored | Won | |
| Aug 29 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | Both scored | Won | |
| Aug 16 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Aug 2 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Jul 24 | Both scored | Won | |
| Jul 18 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| May 10 | Both scored | Won | |
| May 3 | Both scored | Won | |
| Apr 25 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | Both scored | Won | |
| Apr 18 | Both scored | Won | |
| Apr 11 | Both scored | Won | |
| Apr 4 | Both scored | Won | |
| Mar 21 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | MAZ | A team didn't score | Lost |
| Mar 7 | Both scored | Won | |
| Mar 4 | Both scored | Won | |
| Feb 28 | Both scored | Won | |
| Feb 20 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | Both scored | Won | |
| Nov 26 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | MAZ | Both scored | Won |
| Oct 21 | Both scored | Won | |
| Oct 18 | Both scored | Won | |
| Oct 4 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Both scored | Won | |
| Sep 24 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | Both scored | Won | |
| Sep 13 | Both scored | Won | |
| Aug 30 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | Both scored | Won | |
| Aug 16 | Both scored | Won | |
| Aug 9 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | Both scored | Won | |
| Jul 16 | Both scored | Won | |
| Jul 11 | Both scored | Won | |
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score: No, AME gamesAmérica · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 17 of 38· last season45%needs 45% to break even12 of 24 at home | Record is last season's | -24.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.