Loading
EPLGame lineTotal
Manchester City @ Aston Villa: over 3
Won3 of 5this season · 60%
Best price-118Pinnacle
Price needs54.1%wins to break even
Every game11 of 27this season and last
Trend score-26.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 450%needs 54% to break even | 18%–82% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 650%needs 54% to break even | 22%–78% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 850%needs 54% to break even | 25%–75% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 54% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 8 of 2236%needs 54% to break even | 22%–54% | 18 points shortwon 36%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 11 of 2741%needs 54% to break even | 27%–56% | 13 points shortwon 41%, needs 54% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MNC plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against AVL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Manchester City @ Aston Villa: over 35 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against over 3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  IPS | 5 | +2 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  LIV | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Sep 20 |  SUN | 8 | +5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  MAN | 1 | -2 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  COV | 1 | -2 | Lost |
| Aug 28 |  CRY | 5 | +2 | Won |
| Aug 23 |  BOU | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 |  AVL | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| May 19 | BOU | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| May 13 | CRY | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| May 9 |  BRE | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| May 4 |  EVE | 6 | +3 | Won |
| Apr 22 | BUR | 1 | -2 | Lost |
| Apr 19 |  ARS | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Apr 12 |  CHE | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Mar 14 | WHU | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Mar 4 |  NFO | 4 | +1 | Won |
| Feb 28 |  LEE | 1 | -2 | Lost |
| Feb 21 |  NEW | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Feb 11 |  FUL | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Feb 8 | LIV | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Feb 1 |  TOT | 4 | +1 | Won |
| Jan 24 | WOL | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | MAN | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Jan 7 |  BHA | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | CHE | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Jan 1 | SUN | 0 | -3 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | NFO | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Dec 20 | WHU | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Dec 14 | CRY | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Dec 6 | SUN | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Dec 2 | FUL | 9 | +6 | Won |
| Nov 29 | LEE | 5 | +2 | Won |
| Nov 22 | NEW | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Nov 9 | LIV | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Nov 2 | BOU | 4 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 26 | AVL | 1 | -2 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | EVE | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | BRE | 1 | -2 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | BUR | 6 | +3 | Won |
| Sep 21 | ARS | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | MAN | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Aug 31 | BHA | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Aug 23 | TOT | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Aug 16 | WOL | 4 | +1 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET |  +162at Polymarket | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 3 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | PIN+105at Pinnacle | 14 of 22· last season64%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET |  -154at Kalshi | 30 of 38· last season79%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Manchester City in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.