This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 59% to break even | 65%–100% | 41 points betterwon 100%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 59% to break even | 54%–93% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 59% to break even | 59%–92% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% |
| This season | 7 of 7100%needs 59% to break even | 72%–100% | 41 points betterwon 100%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 23 of 3861%needs 59% to break even | 47%–72% | 1 points betterwon 61%, needs 59% |
| Every game | 30 of 4567%needs 59% to break even | 54%–77% | 7 points betterwon 67%, needs 59% |
Tonight MNC plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against AVL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against mnc to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 team totalManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | BUR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | WHU | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | WOL | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | WHU | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | BUR | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | WOL | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 36% to break even |
| -6.6Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | -154at Kalshi | 30 of 38· last season79%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.4Not beating its price |
| MNC -1.5 spreadManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | +169at Polymarket | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | +155at Polymarket | 15 of 38· last season39%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | PIN+105at Pinnacle | 14 of 22· last season64%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | -191at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 66% to break even | -19.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | +162at Polymarket | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | -187at Polymarket | 23 of 38· last season61%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.5Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | +137at Polymarket | 3 of 7· this season43%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.4Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | PIN-118at Pinnacle | 3 of 5· this season60%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -26.2Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | -204at Polymarket | 23 of 38· last season61%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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