This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 450%needs 49% to break even | 18%–82% | 1 points betterwon 50%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 650%needs 49% to break even | 22%–78% | 1 points betterwon 50%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 850%needs 49% to break even | 25%–75% | 1 points betterwon 50%, needs 49% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 49% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 14 of 2264%needs 49% to break even | 46%–78% | 15 points betterwon 64%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 16 of 2759%needs 49% to break even | 44%–73% | 10 points betterwon 59%, needs 49% |
Tonight MNC plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against AVL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MNC to win moneylineManchester City · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 AM ET |
| Beat 3 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 20 | 8 | -5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 19 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 13 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 9 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 4 | 6 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | BUR | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Apr 19 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 12 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 14 | WHU | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Mar 4 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 11 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 8 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 1 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | WOL | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Jan 17 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 0 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 20 | WHU | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Dec 14 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 6 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 2 | 9 | -6 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Nov 9 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Nov 2 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | BUR | 6 | -3 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 31 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | WOL | 4 | -1 | Lost |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 66% to break even |
| -19.5Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 AM ET | PIN-118at Pinnacle | 3 of 5· this season60%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -26.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 AM ET | +137at Polymarket | 3 of 7· this season43%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 7 of 7· this season100%needs 59% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -0.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalManchester City · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 AM ET | +177at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 36% to break even | -6.6Not beating its price |
| MNC -1.5 spreadManchester City · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 AM ET | +169at Polymarket | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalManchester City · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 AM ET | +155at Polymarket | 15 of 38· last season39%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalManchester City · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 AM ET | -187at Polymarket | 23 of 38· last season61%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalManchester City · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 AM ET | -204at Polymarket | 23 of 38· last season61%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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