Loading
EPLGame lineTotal
Manchester City @ Aston Villa: under 3.5
Won30 of 38last season · 79%
Best price-154Kalshi
Price needs60.6%wins to break even
Every game34 of 45this season and last
Trend score-13.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 61% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 61% to break even | 27%–86% | 1 points shortwon 60%, needs 61% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 61% to break even | 44%–87% | 9 points betterwon 70%, needs 61% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 61% to break even | 52%–87% | 13 points betterwon 73%, needs 61% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 61% to break even | 29%–81% | 3 points shortwon 57%, needs 61% |
| Last season | 30 of 3879%needs 61% to break even | 66%–88% | 18 points betterwon 79%, needs 61% |
| Every game | 34 of 4576%needs 61% to break even | 64%–84% | 15 points betterwon 76%, needs 61% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MNC plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against AVL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Manchester City @ Aston Villa: under 3.52 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET |
More on Manchester City in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MNC to win moneylineManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET |
