This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 67% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 67% to break even | 14%–73% | 27 points shortwon 40%, needs 67% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 67% to break even | 27%–73% | 17 points shortwon 50%, needs 67% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 67% to break even | 28%–67% | 20 points shortwon 47%, needs 67% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 67% to break even | 19%–71% | 24 points shortwon 43%, needs 67% |
| Last season | 23 of 3861%needs 67% to break even | 47%–72% | 7 points shortwon 61%, needs 67% |
| Every game | 26 of 4558%needs 67% to break even | 46%–69% | 9 points shortwon 58%, needs 67% |
Tonight MNC plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against AVL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
MNC goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MNC to win moneylineManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | MNC goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 19 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | BUR | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | WHU | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 4 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | WOL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | WHU | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | BUR | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | WOL | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| 23 of 38· last season61%needs 65% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -22.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | +177at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 36% to break even | -6.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 7 of 7· this season100%needs 59% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -0.5Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | -154at Kalshi | 30 of 38· last season79%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.4Not beating its price |
| MNC -1.5 spreadManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | +169at Polymarket | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | PIN+105at Pinnacle | 14 of 22· last season64%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | -191at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 66% to break even | -19.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | +162at Polymarket | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | +137at Polymarket | 3 of 7· this season43%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.4Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, MNC gamesManchester City · Tomorrow 7:30 AM ET | PIN-118at Pinnacle | 3 of 5· this season60%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -26.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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