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EPLGame lineTotal
Tottenham Hotspur @ Chelsea: under 2.5
Won13 of 38last season · 34%
Best price+169Polymarket
Price needs37.2%wins to break even
Every game14 of 45this season and last
Trend score-24.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 37% to break even | 5%–56% | 17 points shortwon 20%, needs 37% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 37% to break even | 7%–46% | 17 points shortwon 20%, needs 37% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 37% to break even | 8%–41% | 17 points shortwon 20%, needs 37% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 37% to break even | 3%–45% | 23 points shortwon 14%, needs 37% |
| Last season | 13 of 3834%needs 37% to break even | 23%–48% | 3 points shortwon 34%, needs 37% |
| Every game | 14 of 4531%needs 37% to break even | 21%–43% | 6 points shortwon 31%, needs 37% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CHE plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TOT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Tottenham Hotspur @ Chelsea: under 2.52 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  EVE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  BOU | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 18 |  BRE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  HUL | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 |  ARS | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  BHA | 7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Aug 24 |  FUL | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 |  SUN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 19 |  TOT | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 9 |  LIV | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 4 |  NFO | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | BHA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 |  MAN | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  MNC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 | EVE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 |  NEW | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 4 |  AVL | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 | ARS | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 | BUR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 10 |  LEE | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | WOL | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | WHU | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 |  CRY | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | BRE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | FUL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | MNC | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 30 | BOU | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | AVL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | NEW | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 13 | EVE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | BOU | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 | LEE | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | ARS | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | BUR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | WOL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | TOT | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | SUN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | NFO | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | LIV | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | BHA | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | MAN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | BRE | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | FUL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 22 | WHU | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Aug 17 | CRY | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, CHE gamesChelsea · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET |  -195at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 66% to break even | -11.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 3 game total, CHE gamesChelsea · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET | LVG-117at LowVig | 4 of 5· this season80%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -16.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 game total, CHE gamesChelsea · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Chelsea in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.