This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 68% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 68% to break even | 44%–95% | 12 points betterwon 80%, needs 68% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 68% to break even | 44%–87% | 2 points betterwon 70%, needs 68% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 68% to break even | 59%–92% | 12 points betterwon 80%, needs 68% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 68% to break even | 29%–81% | 11 points shortwon 57%, needs 68% |
| Last season | 31 of 3882%needs 68% to break even | 69%–90% | 13 points betterwon 82%, needs 68% |
| Every game | 35 of 4578%needs 68% to break even | 66%–86% | 10 points betterwon 78%, needs 68% |
Tonight CHE plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TOT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
CHE goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalChelsea · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, CHE gamesChelsea · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | CHE goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 18 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | BUR | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | WOL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | WHU | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | BUR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | WOL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | WHU | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 17 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| 5 of 7· this season71%needs 64% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -29.1Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalChelsea · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 3 of 7· this season43%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -22.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 66% to break even |
| -11.6Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, CHE gamesChelsea · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET | LVG-117at LowVig | 4 of 5· this season80%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -16.6Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, CHE gamesChelsea · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 26 of 38· last season68%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.7Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, CHE gamesChelsea · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.4Not beating its price |
| CHE -1.5 spreadChelsea · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 10 of 38· last season26%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.1Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, CHE gamesChelsea · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 13 of 38· last season34%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, CHE gamesChelsea · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET | +115at BetUS | 13 of 25· last season52%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
| CHE -1 spreadChelsea · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET | +115at BetUS | 10 of 34· last season29%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.3Not beating its price |
| CHE to win moneylineChelsea · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 58% to break even | Record is this season's | -31.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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