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Won10 of 38last season · 26%
Best price+185Polymarket
Price needs35.1%wins to break even
Every game12 of 45this season and last
Trend score-22.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 35% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 35% to break even | 7%–46% | 15 points shortwon 20%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 35% to break even | 5%–33% | 22 points shortwon 13%, needs 35% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 35% to break even | 10%–59% | 7 points shortwon 29%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 10 of 3826%needs 35% to break even | 16%–39% | 9 points shortwon 26%, needs 35% |
| Every game | 12 of 4527%needs 35% to break even | 17%–39% | 8 points shortwon 27%, needs 35% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CHE plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TOT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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CHE -1.5 (spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against che -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  EVE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  BOU | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 18 |  BRE | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  HUL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 |  ARS | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  BHA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 24 |  FUL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 |  SUN | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 19 |  TOT | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 9 |  LIV | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 4 |  NFO | -2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | BHA | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 |  MAN | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  MNC | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 | EVE | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 |  NEW | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 |  AVL | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | ARS | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 | BUR | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 10 |  LEE | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | WOL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | WHU | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 |  CRY | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | BRE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | FUL | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | MNC | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 30 | BOU | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | AVL | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | NEW | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 13 | EVE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | BOU | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | LEE | -2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | ARS | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | BUR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | WOL | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | TOT | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | SUN | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | NFO | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | LIV | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | BHA | -2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | MAN | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | BRE | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | FUL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 22 | WHU | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 17 | CRY | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Chelsea in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.