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EPLGame lineTotal
Tottenham Hotspur @ Chelsea: over 2.5
Won12 of 15last 15 games · 80%
Best price-195Polymarket
Price needs66.1%wins to break even
Every game31 of 45this season and last
Trend score-11.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 66% to break even | 44%–95% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 66% to break even | 54%–93% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 66% to break even | 59%–92% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 66% to break even | 55%–97% | 20 points betterwon 86%, needs 66% |
| Last season | 25 of 3866%needs 66% to break even | 52%–77% | evenwon 66%, needs 66% |
| Every game | 31 of 4569%needs 66% to break even | 57%–79% | 3 points betterwon 69%, needs 66% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CHE plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TOT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Tottenham Hotspur @ Chelsea: over 2.52 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  EVE | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  BOU | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 18 |  BRE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  HUL | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  ARS | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  BHA | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Aug 24 |  FUL | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 |  SUN | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 19 |  TOT | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 9 |  LIV | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 4 |  NFO | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 21 | BHA | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 |  MAN | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  MNC | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 | EVE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  NEW | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 |  AVL | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | ARS | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 | BUR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 10 |  LEE | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 | WOL | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | WHU | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 |  CRY | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | BRE | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | FUL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | MNC | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 30 | BOU | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | AVL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | NEW | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 | EVE | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | BOU | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | LEE | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | ARS | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | BUR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | WOL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | TOT | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | SUN | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | NFO | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | LIV | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | BHA | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | MAN | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | BRE | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | FUL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 22 | WHU | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Aug 17 | CRY | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, CHE gamesChelsea · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET |  +169at Polymarket | 13 of 38· last season34%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 3 game total, CHE gamesChelsea · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET |  +115at BetUS | 13 of 25· last season52%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, CHE gamesChelsea · Tomorrow 12:30 PM ET |  -148at Kalshi | 26 of 38· last season68%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Chelsea in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.