This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 367%needs 54% to break even | 25%–92% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 667%needs 54% to break even | 35%–88% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 863%needs 54% to break even | 35%–84% | 9 points betterwon 63%, needs 54% |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 54% to break even | 44%–95% | 26 points betterwon 80%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 12 of 2548%needs 54% to break even | 33%–64% | 6 points shortwon 48%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 16 of 3053%needs 54% to break even | 39%–67% | 1 points shortwon 53%, needs 54% |
Tonight CHE plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TOT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, CHE gamesChelsea · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalChelsea · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET |
| Total goals |
|---|
| Beat 3 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 6 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 30 | 7 | +4 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 19 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 9 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 18 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 21 | BUR | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Feb 10 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | WOL | 4 | +1 | Won |
| Jan 31 | WHU | 5 | +2 | Won |
| Jan 25 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 4 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 20 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -3 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | BUR | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | WOL | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Nov 1 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 4 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 27 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 13 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | WHU | 6 | +3 | Won |
| Aug 17 | 0 | -3 | Lost | |
| 13 of 38· last season34%needs 37% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -24.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, CHE gamesChelsea · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | +115at BetUS | 13 of 25· last season52%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, CHE gamesChelsea · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 26 of 38· last season68%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 21 of 38· last season55%needs 41% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -13.3Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalChelsea · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | -223at Polymarket | 31 of 38· last season82%needs 69% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price |
| CHE -1.5 spreadChelsea · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 10 of 38· last season26%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.1Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalChelsea · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 3 of 7· this season43%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -22.4Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalChelsea · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | -179at Polymarket | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 64% to break even | Record is this season's | -29.1Not beating its price |
| CHE -1 spreadChelsea · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | +115at BetUS | 10 of 34· last season29%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.3Not beating its price |
| CHE to win moneylineChelsea · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 58% to break even | Record is this season's | -31.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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