Each of this player's bets replayed over their recent games, strongest first. Red means it has won less often than its price needs.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 receptionsTB @ CAR · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 44% to break even4 of 7 at home |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Teammates' bets that have won much more often in the games John Metchie III's bet won. Useful when building a parlay from one game; it says nothing about why.
Averages over recent windows. A window reaches back into last season when this season has fewer games.
| Window | Games | Snap % | Car | Rush yds | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 41.8 | 0 | 0 | 3.4 | 2 | 20 | 0.2 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 63.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 22.3 | 0.1 |
| This season | 4 | 34.5 | 0 | 0 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 20 | 0.3 |
| Last season | 13 | 54.7 | 0.2 | -0.4 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 21.1 | 0.2 |
Snap %: share of the offense's snaps, % · Car: carries (rushing attempts) · Rush yds: rushing yards · Tgt: targets (passes thrown his way) · Rec: receptions · Rec yds: receiving yards · Rec TD: receiving touchdowns
This season and last, newest first.
What TB's defense has given up to wide receivers, against the rest of the league.
| Stat | TB allows a game | Rank | Average defense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yardsto wide receivers | 145.7 | 14th fewestof 32 | 150.3 |
| Receptionsto wide receivers | 12.5 | 11th mostof 32, an easy matchup | 11.5 |
| Anytime TDto wide receivers | 0.8 | 13th fewestof 32 | 0.9 |
Per game over 6 games, this season. “Most” means this defense gives up more than most.
| Week | Team | Player | Receiving yards | All wide receivers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | DK Metcalf | 93 | 180 | |
| Wk 5 |
| George Pickens |
| 130 |
| 271 |
| Wk 4 | Christian Watson | 47 | 66 |
| Wk 3 | Jordan Addison | 90 | 123 |
| Wk 2 | Denzel Boston | 95 | 133 |
| Wk 1 | Tee Higgins | 59 | 101 |
| Wk 18last season | Tetairoa McMillan | 85 | 196 |
| Wk 17last season | Theo Wease Jr. | 63 | 75 |
| Wk 16last season | Tetairoa McMillan | 73 | 132 |
| Wk 15last season | David Sills | 78 | 113 |
| Average of these 10 | 81.3 | 139 |
Per-game averages in different kinds of games, this season and last, with the row that matches the next game (vs TB) marked. Few games in a row means it can swing a lot.
| Which games | Played | Snap % | Car | Rush yds | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Every game | 17 | 49.9 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 20.8 | 0.2 |
| HomeNext game | 7 | 46.9 | 0.3 | -1.3 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 20.3 | 0 |
| Away | 10 | 52.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 21.2 | 0.3 |
| vs TBNext game | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 0.8Slight |
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsTB @ CAR · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 43% to break even4 of 7 at home | -0.8Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 receiving yardsTB @ CAR · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 53% to break even3 of 7 at home | Record is last season's | -31.0Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsTB @ CAR · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -130at FanDuel | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 57% to break even3 of 7 at home | Record is last season's | -35.4Not beating its price |
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From the latest injury report and depth chart, with the next opponent, TB. Statuses change up to game time.
TB is missing: Antoine Winfield Jr. (starting FS).