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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
John Metchie III over 14.5 receiving yards
Won8 of 10last 10 games · 80%
Best price+129Kalshi
Price needs43.7%wins to break even
Every game10 of 17this season and last
Trend score-1.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 44% to break even | 44%–95% | 36 points betterwon 80%, needs 44% | 20receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 44% to break even | 54%–93% | 36 points betterwon 80%, needs 44% | 22.3receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 44% to break even | 46%–83% | 23 points betterwon 67%, needs 44% | 23.6receiving yards |
| This season | 3 of 475%needs 44% to break even | 36%–94% | 31 points betterwon 75%, needs 44% | 20receiving yards |
| Last season |
Games like tonight
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 7 at home. Tonight: TB allows 145.7 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 14th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3). How TB defends wide receivers
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
John Metchie III over 14.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against over 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 14.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  | |||
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
More on John Metchie III in this game
This player's other props in the game.
