This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 36% to break even | 0%–35% | 36 points shortwon 0%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 36% to break even | 13%–56% | 6 points shortwon 30%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 36% to break even | 17%–54% | 2 points shortwon 33%, needs 36% |
| This season | 3 of 1030%needs 36% to break even | 13%–56% | 6 points shortwon 30%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 40 of 9542%needs 36% to break even | 34%–51% | 7 points betterwon 42%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 43 of 10541%needs 36% to break even | 33%–49% | 5 points betterwon 41%, needs 36% |
Tonight COL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1P margin in each game against col 1p -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1P margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 2nd period totalColorado Avalanche · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 36% to break even |
| -11.2Not beating its price |
| COL -1.5 spreadColorado Avalanche · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 46 of 95· last season48%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 team totalColorado Avalanche · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 60% to break even | -16.8Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 game total, COL gamesColorado Avalanche · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 43 of 95· last season45%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.0Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 game total, COL gamesColorado Avalanche · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 49% to break even | -18.4Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalColorado Avalanche · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 38% to break even | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 game total, COL gamesColorado Avalanche · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 58 of 95· last season61%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
| COL to win moneylineColorado Avalanche · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 63 of 95· last season66%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 game total, COL gamesColorado Avalanche · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 52 of 95· last season55%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 team totalColorado Avalanche · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 44 of 95· last season46%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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