This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 56% to break even | 44%–95% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 667%needs 56% to break even | 35%–88% | 11 points betterwon 67%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 667%needs 56% to break even | 35%–88% | 11 points betterwon 67%, needs 56% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 56% to break even | 35%–88% | 11 points betterwon 67%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 4 of 667%needs 56% to break even | 35%–88% |
Tonight NO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against PIT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 receptionsBryce Lance · |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsBryce Lance |
| 11 points betterwon 67%, needs 56% |
| 1 |
| +0.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 1 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| +124at Kalshi |
| 2 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped33%needs 45% to break even |
| -19.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +124at Kalshi |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 45% to break even |
| 6.3Good |
| Under 13.5 receiving yardsBryce Lance · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -108at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 52% to break even | 2.4Slight |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsBryce Lance · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -126at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 56% to break even | 0.3Slight |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsBryce Lance · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -199at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 67% to break even | -5.6Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsBryce Lance · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +198at Kalshi | 1 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped17%needs 34% to break even | -17.1Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsBryce Lance · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +146at Kalshi | 1 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped17%needs 41% to break even | -21.0Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsBryce Lance · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -103at Kalshi | 1 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped17%needs 51% to break even | -26.5Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 receiving yardsBryce Lance · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -114at FanDuel | 1 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped17%needs 53% to break even | -27.9Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 receiving yardsBryce Lance · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -168at Kalshi | 1 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped17%needs 63% to break even | -33.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.