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Trends
Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend ignores the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Under 29.5 pts + reb + astIvica Zubac · DAL @ IND · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET |  -107at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even | -0.8Not beating its price | ||
| 2 | Under 29.5 pts + reb + astJalen Duren · DET @ MIA · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 54% to break even | -1.6Not beating its price | ||
| 3 | Under 24.5 pts + reb + astDerrick White · NY @ BOS · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 53% to break even | -4.8Not beating its price | ||
| 4 | Over 34.5 pts + reb + astJalen Brunson · NY @ BOS · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 59 of 97· last season61%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.3Not beating its price | |
| 5 | Over 39.5 pts + reb + astJayson Tatum · NY @ BOS · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 57% to break even | -18.6Not beating its price | ||
| 6 | Under 39.5 pts + reb + astVictor Wembanyama · HOU @ SA · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | -112at Kalshi | 47 of 89· last season53%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price | |
| 7 | Under 39.5 pts + reb + astJayson Tatum · NY @ BOS · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 22· last season50%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.6Not beating its price | |
| 8 | Over 39.5 pts + reb + astVictor Wembanyama · HOU @ SA · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETWithout Harris | -112at Kalshi | 42 of 89· last season47%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.3Not beating its price | |
| 9 | Under 34.5 pts + reb + astJalen Brunson · NY @ BOS · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 38 of 97· last season39%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.0Not beating its price | |
| 10 | Over 24.5 pts + reb + astDerrick White · NY @ BOS · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 42 of 84· last season50%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.0Not beating its price | |
| 11 | Over 29.5 pts + reb + astJalen Duren · DET @ MIA · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 47 of 87· last season54%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.8Not beating its price | |
| 12 | Over 29.5 pts + reb + astIvica Zubac · DAL @ IND · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 18 of 48· last season38%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -39.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work