This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 54% to break even | 14%–73% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 54% to break even | 7%–46% | 34 points shortwon 20%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 54% to break even | 8%–41% | 34 points shortwon 20%, needs 54% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 54% to break even | 27%–100% | 46 points betterwon 100%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 42 of 8450%needs 54% to break even | 41%–59% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 43 of 8551%needs 54% to break even | 42%–59% | 3 points shortwon 51%, needs 54% |
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb + ast in each game against over 24.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb + ast | Beat 24.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 26 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 2 | 36 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 13 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 10 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 15 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 13 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 19 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 16 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 12 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 25 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 15 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 16 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 19 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 20 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 30 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 26 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 46 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 28 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 34 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 28 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 35 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 29 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 38 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 25 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 23 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 24 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 29 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 37 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 21 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 32 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 26 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 29 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 23 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 24 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 19 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 27 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 41 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 26 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 25 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 23 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 40 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 28 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 40 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 21 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 32 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 28 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 27 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 44 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 38 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 16 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 36 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 30 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 46 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 29 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 37 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 28 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 11 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 24 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 38 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 29 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 30 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 28 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 28 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 23 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 21 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 9 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 23 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 28 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 21 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 23 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 32 | +7.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 24.5 pts + reb + astDerrick White · Today 7:10 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 53% to break even | -4.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 assistsDerrick White · Today 7:10 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 66% to break even | -11.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 2.5 threesDerrick White · Today 7:10 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 42 of 84· last season50%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 reboundsDerrick White · Today 7:10 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 54% to break even | -17.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 threesDerrick White · Today 7:10 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 42 of 84· last season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 assistsDerrick White · Today 7:10 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 32 of 84· last season38%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 reboundsDerrick White · Today 7:10 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 56 of 84· last season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.