This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 56% to break even | 5%–56% | 36 points shortwon 20%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 56% to break even | 7%–46% | 36 points shortwon 20%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 56% to break even | 13%–48% | 29 points shortwon 27%, needs 56% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 56% to break even | 27%–100% | 44 points betterwon 100%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 18 of 4838%needs 56% to break even | 27%–49% | 18 points shortwon 38%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 19 of 4939%needs 56% to break even | 28%–51% | 17 points shortwon 39%, needs 56% |
Tonight IND plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb + ast in each game against over 29.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb + ast | Beat 29.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 31 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 18 | 29 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 19 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 19 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 20 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 16 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 19 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 35 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 22 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 19 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 22 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 37 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 24 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 27 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 32 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 22 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 24 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 15 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 35 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 24 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 12 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 8 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 25 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 21 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 41 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 30 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 17 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 36 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 31 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 34 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 26 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 24 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 55 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 33 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 33 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 28 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 30 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 40 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 28 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 26 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 40 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 6 | 36 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 16 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 30 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 26 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 27 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 32 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 17 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 29 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 29.5 pts + reb + astIvica Zubac · Today 7:10 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 11.5 reboundsIvica Zubac · Today 7:10 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even | -2.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 11.5 reboundsIvica Zubac · Today 7:10 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 17 of 48· last season35%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.