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Trends
Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend ignores the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Over 27.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details |  +119at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 46% to break even | 16.7Very strong | ||
| 2 | MISS -1.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 9 more numbers in Details |  +149at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | 12.6Strong | |
| 3 | MISS -0.5 1st half spreadOle Miss Rebels · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 6 more numbers in Details | +134at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last season80%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.3Good | |
| 4 | Under 51.5 game total, TEX gamesTexas Longhorns · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 6 more numbers in Details | +126at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 44% to break even | 2.5Slight | ||
| 5 | Over 48.5 game total, MISS gamesOle Miss Rebels · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 7 more numbers in Details | -183at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 65% to break even | -5.7Not beating its price | ||
| 6 | TEX -3.5 1st half spreadTexas Longhorns · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 6 more numbers in Details | +121at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.8Not beating its price | |
| 7 | Under 27.5 1st half totalTexas Longhorns · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -119at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 54% to break even | -6.8Not beating its price | ||
| 8 | Under 27.5 team totalTexas Longhorns · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +114at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 47% to break even | -8.1Not beating its price | ||
| 9 | Under 13.5 1st quarter totalTexas Longhorns · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -168at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 63% to break even | -9.5Not beating its price | ||
| 10 | TEX -0.5 1st quarter spreadTexas Longhorns · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +116at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.7Not beating its price | |
| 11 | MISS +0.5 1st quarter spreadOle Miss Rebels · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -145at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 59% to break even | -9.7Not beating its price | ||
| 12 | MISS -0.5 2nd half spreadOle Miss Rebels · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price | |
| 13 | TEX to win moneylineTexas Longhorns · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 10 more numbers in Details | NV-150at Novig | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.8Not beating its price | |
| 14 | Over 7.5 1st quarter totalTexas Longhorns · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -199at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 67% to break even | -15.1Not beating its price | ||
| 15 | Over 30.5 1st half totalTexas Longhorns · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | +146at Kalshi | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.7Not beating its price | |
| 16 | TEX +0.5 2nd half spreadTexas Longhorns · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price | |
| 17 | Under 51.5 game total, MISS gamesOle Miss Rebels · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 6 more numbers in Details | +126at Polymarket | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 44% to break even | -23.8Not beating its price | ||
| 18 | Over 30.5 team totalTexas Longhorns · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +119at Kalshi | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price | |
| 19 | Over 57.5 game total, TEX gamesTexas Longhorns · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 7 more numbers in Details | +129at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 44% to break even | -26.3Not beating its price | ||
| 20 | Under 23.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · MISS @ TEX · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +129at Kalshi | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 44% to break even | -35.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work