This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 56% to break even | 14%–73% | 16 points shortwon 40%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 56% to break even | 35%–81% | 4 points betterwon 60%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 56% to break even | 39%–78% | 4 points betterwon 60%, needs 56% |
| This season | 26 of 5250%needs 56% to break even | 39%–61% | 6 points shortwon 50%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 19 of 4740%needs 56% to break even | 29%–52% | 15 points shortwon 40%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 45 of 9945%needs 56% to break even | 37%–54% | 10 points shortwon 45%, needs 56% |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against GS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2H margin in each game against atl 2h -4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 2H margin | Beat 4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 20 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 12 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | -1 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | -3 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 1 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 13 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Sep 30 | 12 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 20 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Sep 23 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 21 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Sep 17 | 34 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | -3 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | -4 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | -5 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 20 | 15 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Aug 18 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | -8 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 13 | 16 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Aug 10 | -3 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 7 | 7 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 5 | 7 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 3 | -5 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 31 | -5 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 29 | 7 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | -13 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 17 | 18 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jul 13 | -2 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | -3 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 9 | -6 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 4 | 2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 2 | -14 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 27 | -8 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 26 | -6 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 24 | 6 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 22 | -11 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 20 | 20 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jun 18 | -2 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 17 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jun 11 | -7 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 9 | 10 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jun 6 | 20 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jun 4 | -3 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 2 | 15 | +10.5 | Won | |
| May 29 | 13 | +8.5 | Won | |
| May 27 | -10 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 9 | +4.5 | Won | |
| May 22 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 6 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 12 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 16 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Sep 18 | -9 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 16 | -11 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 10 | -7 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 8 | 23 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 15 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 3 | -1 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 1 | 23 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 13 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Aug 27 | -8 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | -3 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | -1 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 16 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 13 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 10 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 7 | 27 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Aug 3 | 15 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 7 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 30 | -1 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 29 | -2 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 27 | -10 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 23 | 6 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | -9 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 19 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jul 13 | -18 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | -22 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 7 | 11 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jul 3 | 1 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 29 | -4 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 27 | 1 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 24 | -11 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 22 | 12 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jun 20 | -8 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 17 | -8 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 15 | 22 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jun 13 | 19 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jun 10 | 19 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jun 6 | -7 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| May 30 | 18 | +13.5 | Won | |
| May 27 | -3 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 20 | +15.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 1 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 22 | -2 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| May 20 | -1 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | -8 | -12.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.