This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 36% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 36% to break even | 27%–73% | 14 points betterwon 50%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 36% to break even | 33%–72% | 17 points betterwon 53%, needs 36% |
| This season | 25 of 5149%needs 36% to break even | 38%–60% | 13 points betterwon 49%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 27 of 4757%needs 36% to break even | 45%–69% |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against GS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 pointsNaz Hillmon · Tomorrow 1:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 reboundsNaz Hillmon · Tomorrow 1:10 PM ET |
| 22 points betterwon 57%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 52 of 9853%needs 36% to break even | 45%–61% | 17 points betterwon 53%, needs 36% |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 15 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 12 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 30 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 23 | 16 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 17 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 12 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 20 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Aug 18 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 13 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 10 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 7 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 5 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 3 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 31 | 18 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jul 29 | 2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 17 | 24 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jul 13 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 11 | 15 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jul 9 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 4 | 3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 2 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 26 | 2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 24 | 2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 22 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 20 | 19 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jun 18 | 17 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 11 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 9 | 16 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jun 6 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 4 | 12 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jun 2 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 29 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| May 27 | 15 | +7.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 22 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 12 | 1 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 15 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Sep 18 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 16 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 16 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Sep 10 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 8 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 3 | 15 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 1 | 17 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 27 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 21 | 2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 1 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 12 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 13 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 10 | 13 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Aug 7 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 3 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 18 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jul 30 | 21 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jul 29 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jul 27 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 23 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 13 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jul 11 | 3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 7 | 16 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jul 3 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 29 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 27 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 24 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 22 | 12 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jun 20 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 17 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 15 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 13 | 0 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 10 | 2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 6 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| May 30 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 27 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 25 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| May 22 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 20 | 3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 0 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| -110at FanDuel |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 52% to break even |
| -28.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +117at BetOnline |
| 38 of 47· last season81%needs 46% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -3.3Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 pts + rebNaz Hillmon · Tomorrow 1:10 PM ET | +105at DraftKings | 37 of 47· last season79%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.5Not beating its price |
| Over 8.5 pts + rebNaz Hillmon · Tomorrow 1:10 PM ET | -140at DraftKings | 38 of 47· last season81%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.0Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 threesNaz Hillmon · Tomorrow 1:10 PM ET | -166at DraftKings | 35 of 51· this season69%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 threesNaz Hillmon · Tomorrow 1:10 PM ET | +122at DraftKings | 17 of 47· last season36%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.1Not beating its price |
| Under 8.5 pts + rebNaz Hillmon · Tomorrow 1:10 PM ET | +103at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 49% to break even | -26.2Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 pts + rebNaz Hillmon · Tomorrow 1:10 PM ET | -136at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 58% to break even | -32.9Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 reboundsNaz Hillmon · Tomorrow 1:10 PM ET | -148at FanDuel | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 60% to break even | -37.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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