This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 32% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 32% to break even | 5%–56% | 12 points shortwon 20%, needs 32% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 32% to break even | 13%–56% | 2 points shortwon 30%, needs 32% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 32% to break even | 8%–41% | 12 points shortwon 20%, needs 32% |
| This season | 8 of 4916%needs 32% to break even | 9%–27% | 16 points shortwon 16%, needs 32% |
| Last season | 0 of 480%needs 32% to break even | 0%–5% | 32 points shortwon 0%, needs 32% |
| Every game | 8 of 978%needs 32% to break even | 5%–14% | 24 points shortwon 8%, needs 32% |
Tonight GS plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 22.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 22.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 15 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 14 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 26 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 20 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 25 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 2 | 19 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 30 | 36 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 20 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | 14 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 22 | 17 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 27 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 26 | 9 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 15 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | 2 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 10 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 23 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 12 | 13 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 7 | 19 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 4 | 10 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 2 | 15 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | SPO | 18 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jul 20 | 8 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 18 | 18 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 15 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 8 | 7 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 6 | 2 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 4 | 19 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 7 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 26 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 24 | 23 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 21 | 10 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 19 | 15 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 17 | 25 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 15 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 12 | 19 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 9 | 25 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 6 | 27 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jun 4 | 5 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 2 | 8 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 20 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 19 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 15 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| May 22 | 6 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| May 21 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 18 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 19 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 7 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Sep 18 | 7 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 16 | 6 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 2 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 7 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 1 | 8 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 12 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 26 | 2 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 10 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 9 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 9 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 13 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 13 | 11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 10 | 5 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 8 | 14 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 5 | 9 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 3 | 12 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 14 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 28 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 2 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 24 | 10 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 14 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | COL | 16 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jul 16 | 4 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 13 | 6 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | 18 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 9 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 6 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 3 | 11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 29 | 2 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 27 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 24 | 11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 22 | 12 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 20 | 18 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 17 | 11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 9 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 11 | 12 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 7 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 3 | 18 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 1 | 20 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 30 | 14 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| May 27 | 20 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 12 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| May 19 | 17 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 4 | -18.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 18.5 pointsGabby Williams · Tomorrow 1:10 PM ET | -107at DraftKings | 44 of 48· last season92%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.