This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 65% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 65% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points shortwon 60%, needs 65% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 65% to break even | 27%–73% | 15 points shortwon 50%, needs 65% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 65% to break even | 46%–83% | 2 points betterwon 67%, needs 65% |
| This season | 32 of 4670%needs 65% to break even | 58%–79% | 5 points betterwon 70%, needs 65% |
| Last season | 17 of 2181%needs 65% to break even | 64%–91% | 16 points betterwon 81%, needs 65% |
| Every game | 49 of 6773%needs 65% to break even | 63%–81% | 9 points betterwon 73%, needs 65% |
Tonight GS plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 7 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 2 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 30 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 22 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 22 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 27 | 20 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Aug 26 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 18 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Aug 21 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 12 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 15 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Aug 7 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 4 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 2 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 29 | 16 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jul 20 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 18 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 15 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jul 10 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 8 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 6 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 4 | 9 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jun 26 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 24 | 14 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jun 21 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jun 19 | 23 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jun 17 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 15 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jun 12 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 9 | 0 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 6 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 4 | 18 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jun 2 | 9 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | 9 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 25 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Sep 17 | 14 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 14 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Sep 11 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 0 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 11 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 20 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Aug 13 | 20 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Aug 11 | 17 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 14 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Aug 6 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 29 | 18 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jul 27 | 0 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jul 14 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jul 5 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 7 | 18 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jun 5 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jun 1 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 29 | 9 | +3.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 pointsCecilia Zandalasini · Tomorrow 1:10 PM ET | +102at FanDuel | 19 of 46· this season41%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -26.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 7.5 pointsCecilia Zandalasini · Tomorrow 1:10 PM ET | -130at DraftKings | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 57% to break even | -19.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 threesCecilia Zandalasini · Tomorrow 1:10 PM ET | +154at FanDuel | 14 of 21· last season67%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 threesCecilia Zandalasini · Tomorrow 1:10 PM ET | -206at DraftKings | 32 of 46· this season70%needs 67% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.