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Won9 of 15last 15 games · 60%
Best price-187Polymarket
Price needs65.2%wins to break even
Every game22 of 45this season and last
Trend score-30.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 65% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 65% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points shortwon 60%, needs 65% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 65% to break even | 27%–73% | 15 points shortwon 50%, needs 65% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 65% to break even | 39%–78% | 5 points shortwon 60%, needs 65% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 65% to break even | 29%–81% | 8 points shortwon 57%, needs 65% |
| Last season | 18 of 3847%needs 65% to break even | 35%–60% | 18 points shortwon 47%, needs 65% |
| Every game | 22 of 4549%needs 65% to break even | 37%–61% | 16 points shortwon 49%, needs 65% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NAP plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against ROMA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Under 1.5 (team total)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
NAP goals in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | NAP goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  VEN | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  FRO | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  FIO | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  BOL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  INT | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  COMO | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 22 |  GEN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 |  UDI | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 17 | PIS | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 11 | BOL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 2 | COMO | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 24 | CRE | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 |  LAZ | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  PAR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 6 |  MIL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  CAG | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  LEC | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 |  TOR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | VER | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 |  ATA | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 |  ROMA | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | GEN | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | FIO | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 |  JUV | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 |  SAS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 14 | PAR | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | INT | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | VER | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | LAZ | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 | CRE | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | UDI | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | JUV | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | ROMA | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | ATA | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | BOL | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | COMO | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 28 | LEC | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | INT | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | TOR | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | GEN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | MIL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 22 | PIS | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | FIO | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | CAG | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 | SAS | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalNapoli · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |  +149at Polymarket | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Napoli in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAP to win moneylineNapoli · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |  +185at Fanatics | 23 of 38· last season61%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.8Not beating its price | |
| NAP 0 spreadNapoli · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | PIN+106at Pinnacle | 23 of 31· last season74%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 game total, NAP gamesNapoli · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |  +100at BetUS | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 50% to break even | -16.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 game total, NAP gamesNapoli · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | PIN-109at Pinnacle | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.