This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 450%needs 49% to break even | 18%–82% | 1 points betterwon 50%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 956%needs 49% to break even | 30%–78% | 7 points betterwon 56%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1258%needs 49% to break even | 36%–78% | 10 points betterwon 58%, needs 49% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 49% to break even | 22%–78% | 1 points betterwon 50%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 23 of 3174%needs 49% to break even | 60%–85% | 26 points betterwon 74%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 26 of 3770%needs 49% to break even | 57%–81% | 22 points betterwon 70%, needs 49% |
Tonight NAP plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against ROMA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against nap 0, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAP to win moneylineNapoli · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| May 17 | PIS | 3 | +3 | Won |
| May 11 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 24 | CRE | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Apr 18 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 6 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | VER | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Feb 22 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 7 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 11 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 7 | VER | 0 | 0 | Tie |
| Jan 4 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | CRE | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Dec 14 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 22 | PIS | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| 23 of 38· last season61%needs 35% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -5.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalNapoli · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, NAP gamesNapoli · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +100at BetUS | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 50% to break even | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, NAP gamesNapoli · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | PIN-109at Pinnacle | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.9Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalNapoli · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 65% to break even | -30.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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