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Won23 of 38last season · 61%
Best price+185Fanatics
Price needs35.1%wins to break even
Every game26 of 45this season and last
Trend score-5.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 35% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 35% to break even | 27%–73% | 15 points betterwon 50%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 35% to break even | 28%–67% | 12 points betterwon 47%, needs 35% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 35% to break even | 19%–71% | 8 points betterwon 43%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 23 of 3861%needs 35% to break even | 47%–72% | 25 points betterwon 61%, needs 35% |
| Every game | 26 of 4558%needs 35% to break even | 46%–69% | 23 points betterwon 58%, needs 35% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NAP plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against ROMA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
NAP to win (moneyline)17 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Fanatics+18535.1%BestBet ↗
Polymarket+18535.1%BestBet ↗- PINPinnacle+18335.3%−$2Bet ↗
BetOnline+18335.3%−$2Bet ↗- LVGLowVig+18335.3%−$2Bet ↗
Bovada+18035.7%−$5Bet ↗
BetMGM+18035.7%−$5Bet ↗
BetUS+18035.7%−$5Bet ↗
Caesars+17836.0%−$7Bet ↗
FanDuel+17536.4%−$10Bet ↗
Kalshi+17336.6%−$12Bet ↗- PRXbetPARX+17037.0%−$15Bet ↗
Bally Bet+17037.0%−$15Bet ↗
BetRivers+17037.0%−$15Bet ↗
Hard Rock+17037.0%−$15Bet ↗
DraftKings+17037.0%−$15Bet ↗- tStheScore Bet+16537.7%−$20Bet ↗
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against nap to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  VEN | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  FRO | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  FIO | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  BOL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  INT | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  COMO | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 22 |  GEN | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 |  UDI | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 17 | PIS | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 11 | BOL | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 2 | COMO | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 24 | CRE | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 |  LAZ | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  PAR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 6 |  MIL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  CAG | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  LEC | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 |  TOR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | VER | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 |  ATA | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 |  ROMA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | GEN | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | FIO | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 |  JUV | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 |  SAS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 14 | PAR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | INT | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | VER | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | LAZ | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 | CRE | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | UDI | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | JUV | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | ROMA | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | ATA | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | BOL | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | COMO | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 | LEC | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | INT | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | TOR | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | GEN | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | MIL | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 22 | PIS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | FIO | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | CAG | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 | SAS | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Napoli in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAP 0 spreadNapoli · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | PIN+106at Pinnacle | 23 of 31· last season74%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 team totalNapoli · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 game total, NAP gamesNapoli · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +100at BetUS | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 50% to break even | -16.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 game total, NAP gamesNapoli · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | PIN-109at Pinnacle | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 team totalNapoli · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 65% to break even | -30.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.