This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 73% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 73% to break even | 14%–73% | 33 points shortwon 40%, needs 73% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 73% to break even | 27%–73% | 23 points shortwon 50%, needs 73% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 73% to break even | 28%–67% | 26 points shortwon 47%, needs 73% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 73% to break even | 19%–71% | 30 points shortwon 43%, needs 73% |
| Last season | 23 of 3861%needs 73% to break even | 47%–72% | 12 points shortwon 61%, needs 73% |
| Every game | 26 of 4558%needs 73% to break even | 46%–69% | 15 points shortwon 58%, needs 73% |
Tonight SAS plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against COMO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
SAS goals in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | SAS goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | VER | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | PIS | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 | CRE | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | PIS | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | VER | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | CRE | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 team totalSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | -223at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 69% to break even | Record is this season's | -4.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 team totalSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | +233at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 30% to break even | -1.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 team totalSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | +963at Polymarket | 5 of 38· last season13%needs 9% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.