+8.5 spread: that team can lose by up to 8 and the bet still winsO 47.5 total: wins if the two teams score 48 or more combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →
Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for. A small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean
| Book | Moneyline | Spread | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAS | COMO | Draw | SAS +1 | COMO -1 | O 3 | U 3 | |
| Chance it wins | 15.5%fair odds +547 | 64.2%fair odds -179 | 20.4%fair odds +391 | 45.9%fair odds +118 | 54.1%fair odds -118 | 55.8%fair odds -126 | 44.2%fair odds +126 |
| Edge at the best price | -1.3%Normal | -1.3%Normal | -2.3%Normal | -3.7%Normal | -4.2%Normal | -3.2%Normal | -4.5%Normal |
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On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.
Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.
"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works
| +495 |
| -191 |
| +375 |
| +107 |
| -132 |
| -150 |
| +115 |
| BetUS | +475 | -195 | +360 | +110 | -130 | -136 | +116 |
| LVGLowVig | +495 | -191 | +375 | +107 | -132 | -150 | +115 |
| Bovada | +460 | -186 | +350 | – | – | -136 | +113 |
| Bally Bet | +510 | -225 | +360 | – | – | – | – |
| BetMGM | +450 | -190 | +350 | – | – | – | – |
| PRXbetPARX | +510 | -225 | +360 | – | – | – | – |
| BetRivers | +510 | -225 | +360 | – | – | – | – |
| Caesars | +450 | -200 | +360 | – | – | – | – |
| DraftKings | +425 | -200 | +340 | – | – | – | – |
| Fanatics | +450 | -190 | +350 | – | – | – | – |
| FanDuel | +500 | -230 | +350 | – | – | – | – |
| Hard Rock | +500 | -220 | +375 | – | – | – | – |
| Kalshi | +490 | -199 | +351 | – | – | – | – |
| PINPinnacle | +493 | -191 | +371 | – | – | – | – |
| Polymarket | +539 | -195 | +358 | – | – | – | – |
| tStheScore Bet | +475 | -220 | +380 | – | – | – | – |
Vig at the best pricesspread 4.0% · total 3.8% · to win 1.5%Cheapest books →
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Polymarket and Kalshi sell the spread and total at every number, not just the one most books use. Each row shows the chance that bet wins, from their prices, and the best price on each side at any book, sportsbooks' alternate lines and fees included.
| +116 |
| Under 3.5-134 |
| Over 4.5 | 25% chance | +271 | Under 4.5-316 |
| Over 5.5 | 13% chance | +637 | Under 5.5-772 |
Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend ignores the opponent, and some are luck.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAS +1 spreadSassuolo | +110at BetUS | 21 of 26· last season81%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | 5.1Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalSassuolo |
Who's hurt, the weather, rest and recent form. Injuries can change up to game time.
No one on the injury report.
| 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 30% to break even |
| -1.1Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, COMO gamesComo | +193at Polymarket | 21 of 38· last season55%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.1Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalComo | +193at Polymarket | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.7Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, SAS gamesSassuolo | -134at Polymarket | 30 of 38· last season79%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 team totalComo | +358at Polymarket | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 22% to break even | -15.3Not beating its price |
| COMO -1.5 spreadComo | +131at Polymarket | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.0Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalSassuolo | -1210at Polymarket | 33 of 38· last season87%needs 92% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, SAS gamesSassuolo | -136at Bovada | 3 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped75%needs 58% to break even | -25.7Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, COMO gamesComo | +116at Polymarket | 9 of 38· last season24%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
No one on the injury report.
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