This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 16% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 16% to break even | 5%–56% | 4 points betterwon 20%, needs 16% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 16% to break even | 7%–46% | 4 points betterwon 20%, needs 16% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 16% to break even | 17%–54% | 18 points betterwon 33%, needs 16% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 16% to break even | 10%–59% | 13 points betterwon 29%, needs 16% |
| Last season | 14 of 3837%needs 16% to break even | 25%–50% | 21 points betterwon 37%, needs 16% |
| Every game | 16 of 4536%needs 16% to break even | 25%–48% | 20 points betterwon 36%, needs 16% |
Tonight SAS plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against COMO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against sas to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAS +1 spreadSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 16 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | VER | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | PIS | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 | CRE | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | PIS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | VER | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | CRE | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| 21 of 26· last season81%needs 48% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 5.1Good |
| SAS +1.5 spreadSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | -151at Polymarket | 33 of 38· last season87%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.8Good |
| Over 1.5 team totalSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | +233at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 30% to break even | -1.1Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 team totalSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | -223at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 69% to break even | Record is this season's | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | +963at Polymarket | 5 of 38· last season13%needs 9% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.1Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, SAS gamesSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | -134at Polymarket | 30 of 38· last season79%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, SAS gamesSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | +116at BetUS | 17 of 25· last season68%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.0Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, SAS gamesSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | +193at Polymarket | 17 of 38· last season45%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | -1236at Kalshi | 33 of 38· last season87%needs 93% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.4Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, SAS gamesSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | -136at Bovada | 3 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped75%needs 58% to break even | -25.7Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 team totalSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | +185at Polymarket | 12 of 38· last season32%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.7Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, SAS gamesSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | +116at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 46% to break even | -26.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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