This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 35% to break even | 0%–35% | 35 points shortwon 0%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 35% to break even | 2%–35% | 25 points shortwon 10%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 35% to break even | 5%–33% | 22 points shortwon 13%, needs 35% |
| This season | 0 of 70%needs 35% to break even | 0%–28% | 35 points shortwon 0%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 12 of 3832%needs 35% to break even | 21%–45% | 4 points shortwon 32%, needs 35% |
| Every game | 12 of 4527%needs 35% to break even | 17%–39% | 8 points shortwon 27%, needs 35% |
Tonight SAS plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against COMO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
SAS goals in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 team totalSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAS +1 spreadSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | SAS goals | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 17 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | VER | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | PIS | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 | CRE | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | PIS | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | VER | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | CRE | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 7 of 7· this season100%needs 69% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -4.3Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | +233at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 30% to break even | -1.1Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | +963at Polymarket | 5 of 38· last season13%needs 9% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 21 of 26· last season81%needs 48% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 5.1Good |
| SAS +1.5 spreadSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | -151at Polymarket | 33 of 38· last season87%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.8Good |
| SAS to win moneylineSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | +539at Polymarket | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 16% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.6Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, SAS gamesSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | -134at Polymarket | 30 of 38· last season79%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, SAS gamesSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | +116at BetUS | 17 of 25· last season68%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.0Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, SAS gamesSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | +193at Polymarket | 17 of 38· last season45%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, SAS gamesSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | -136at Bovada | 3 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped75%needs 58% to break even | -25.7Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, SAS gamesSassuolo · Tomorrow 9:00 AM ET | +116at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 46% to break even | -26.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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